Serie A · Matchweek 11

SSC Napoli vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SSC Napoli win33%
Draw27%
SS Lazio win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.30

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SS Lazio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SS Lazio's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. SS Lazio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 0–27.3%
  • 2–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticSSC NapoliSS Lazio
Matches played76
Points per match1.432.67
Goals per match1.431.83
Goals conceded per match1.000.67
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points713
Last 5 goals scored710
Last 5 goals conceded54
Win percentage43%83%

SSC Napoli recent form

LWDWL

SS Lazio recent form

WWDWW

Recent form

SSC Napoli

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat Venezia FC0–1
  • Lat Villarreal CF1–3
  • Wvs Frosinone Calcio3–0
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs AC Monza3–1
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Dvs AC Milan2–2
  • Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
686
1X2 accuracy
47.5%
BTTS accuracy
55.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.