Serie A · Matchweek 7

AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AC Monza win24%
Draw24%
Cagliari Calcio win52%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.73

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Cagliari Calcio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Cagliari Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.7%
  • 0–28.9%
  • 1–06.5%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 1–35.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MonzaCagliari Calcio
Matches played1111
Points per match0.641.45
Goals per match1.550.91
Goals conceded per match2.271.36
Home / away goals scored97
Home / away goals conceded911
Last 5 points33
Last 5 goals scored84
Last 5 goals conceded1012
Win percentage18%45%

AC Monza recent form

WLLLL

Cagliari Calcio recent form

LLLLW

Recent form

AC Monza

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat SS Lazio1–3
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Lat US Lecce2–3
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
  • Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3

Cagliari Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dvs Juventus1–1
  • Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 19 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.