Serie A · Matchweek 7

AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AC Monza win24%
Draw23%
Cagliari Calcio win53%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.77

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Cagliari Calcio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Cagliari Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 1–29.8%
  • 0–28.8%
  • 1–06.2%
  • 2–16.1%
  • 1–35.8%
  • 0–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MonzaCagliari Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.40
Goals per match1.601.00
Goals conceded per match2.400.40
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded41
Last 5 points412
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded122
Win percentage20%80%

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

AC Monza

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Lat US Lecce2–3
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
  • Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
  • Lat Inter Milan1–4

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 28 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.