Serie A · Matchweek 10

SS Lazio vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SS Lazio win43%
Draw26%
Cagliari Calcio win30%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
51%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
49%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.13

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates SS Lazio's home scoring output above the Serie A average. Cagliari Calcio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SS Lazio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–07.9%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–27.1%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSS LazioCagliari Calcio
Matches played65
Points per match2.672.40
Goals per match1.831.00
Goals conceded per match0.670.40
Home / away goals scored64
Home / away goals conceded31
Last 5 points1312
Last 5 goals scored105
Last 5 goals conceded42
Win percentage83%80%

SS Lazio recent form

WWDWW

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs AC Monza3–1
  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Dvs AC Milan2–2
  • Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
582
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
56.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.