Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Moreirense FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 20:30 (GMT)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Portugal win76%
Draw15%
Moreirense FC win9%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
2.66 – 0.83

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sporting Clube de Portugal have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Moreirense FC, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Sporting Clube de Portugal's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.8%
  • 3–09.6%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 4–06.4%
  • 4–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de PortugalMoreirense FC
Matches played67
Points per match2.331.00
Goals per match2.500.86
Goals conceded per match0.831.86
Home / away goals scored73
Home / away goals conceded37
Last 5 points114
Last 5 goals scored125
Last 5 goals conceded49
Win percentage67%29%

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWDDW

Moreirense FC recent form

LLWDL

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Portugal

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Racing Club de Lens2–0
  • Wat Sporting Clube de Braga3–1
  • Dvs FC Arouca2–2
  • Dat FC Famalicão1–1
  • Wvs Galatasaray3–1

Moreirense FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs Gil Vicente FC0–1
  • Dat Vitória SC1–1
  • Wvs CS Marítimo3–1
  • Lvs Sport Lisboa e Benfica0–4
  • Lat FC Porto1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
681
1X2 accuracy
47.3%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.