Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs FC Alverca Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 (GMT+0)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sport Lisboa e Benfica win62%
Draw18%
FC Alverca win20%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
2.57 – 1.42

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sport Lisboa e Benfica have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. FC Alverca carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.7%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–06.1%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 3–05.3%
  • 4–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSport Lisboa e BenficaFC Alverca
Matches played76
Points per match2.571.67
Goals per match3.141.83
Goals conceded per match0.711.33
Home / away goals scored78
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points1210
Last 5 goals scored1310
Last 5 goals conceded45
Win percentage86%50%

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWLW

FC Alverca recent form

DLWWW

Recent form

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Vitória SC2–0
  • Lat FC Porto1–3
  • Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
  • Wat Moreirense FC4–0
  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0

FC Alverca

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat FC Famalicão4–1
  • Wvs Rio Ave FC1–0
  • Wat CD Nacional3–1
  • Lvs Sporting Clube de Braga1–2
  • Dvs CD Santa Clara1–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 20:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 October 2026
Last updated: 12 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
607
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
56.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.3%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.