Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24
SE Palmeiras vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 23 Aug, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 24
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SE Palmeiras win56%
Draw23%
CR Vasco da Gama win22%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.85 – 1.07
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CR Vasco da Gama, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–16.1%
- 0–15.8%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–05.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SE Palmeiras | CR Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.40 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 50% |
SE Palmeiras recent form
WDDWD
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Recent form
SE Palmeiras
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Ceará SC3–1
- Wat CA Mineiro3–0
- Lat Grêmio FBPA2–3
- Dvs Fluminense FC0–0
- Dvs EC Vitória0–0
CR Vasco da Gama
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Santos FC0–3
- Lat CA Mineiro0–5
- Lvs Mirassol FC0–2
- Wvs SC Internacional5–1
- Lat EC Bahia0–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.