Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29

CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 9 Oct, 00:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Paranaense win50%
Draw24%
CA Mineiro win27%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.22

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour CA Paranaense, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits CA Mineiro with an above-average away defensive record. CA Mineiro arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–26.7%
  • 0–16.4%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticCA ParanaenseCA Mineiro
Matches played1113
Points per match1.181.62
Goals per match1.821.31
Goals conceded per match2.091.00
Home / away goals scored84
Home / away goals conceded118
Last 5 points46
Last 5 goals scored65
Last 5 goals conceded96
Win percentage27%46%

CA Paranaense recent form

WLDLL

CA Mineiro recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

CA Paranaense

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia2–1
  • Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
  • Wat Botafogo FR3–2

CA Mineiro

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs RB Bragantino1–0
  • Dvs Chapecoense AF1–1
  • Wvs Fluminense FC3–1
  • Lat São Paulo FC0–2
  • Wvs EC Vitória2–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 8 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.