Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29

SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 9 Oct, 01:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SE Palmeiras win60%
Draw19%
EC Bahia win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
2.33 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SE Palmeiras have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. EC Bahia's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–07.1%
  • 1–06.1%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 3–05.5%
  • 1–25.3%

Team comparison

StatisticSE PalmeirasEC Bahia
Matches played1112
Points per match2.271.67
Goals per match2.001.75
Goals conceded per match0.361.67
Home / away goals scored1912
Home / away goals conceded312
Last 5 points137
Last 5 goals scored147
Last 5 goals conceded29
Win percentage64%50%

SE Palmeiras recent form

WWWDW

EC Bahia recent form

WLDWL

Recent form

SE Palmeiras

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Dat Botafogo FR0–0
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1

EC Bahia

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat CA Paranaense1–2
  • Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wat RB Bragantino3–2
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat EC Vitória2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 9 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.