Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 9 Oct, 01:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 29
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SE Palmeiras win60%
Draw19%
EC Bahia win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.32 – 1.32
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SE Palmeiras have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. EC Bahia's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–07.1%
- 2–26.1%
- 1–06.1%
- 3–05.5%
- 1–25.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SE Palmeiras | EC Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.17 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 2.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.40 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 67% |
SE Palmeiras recent form
WDDWD
EC Bahia recent form
WWWWL
Recent form
SE Palmeiras
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded
- Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
- Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
- Dat Botafogo FR0–0
- Dat Mirassol FC1–1
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1
EC Bahia
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat CA Paranaense1–2
- Wvs Clube do Remo2–1
- Wat RB Bragantino3–2
- Wvs SC Internacional3–2
- Wat EC Vitória2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Home
35%
Draw
24%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.