Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 29
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Botafogo FR win42%
Draw24%
CR Vasco da Gama win34%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.65 – 1.47
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. CR Vasco da Gama arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–27.9%
- 1–07.3%
- 0–16.5%
- 2–26.5%
- 2–06.0%
- 3–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Botafogo FR | CR Vasco da Gama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 6 |
| Points per match | 0.71 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 0.86 | 1.83 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 14% | 50% |
Botafogo FR recent form
LDDWL
CR Vasco da Gama recent form
LWLWW
Recent form
Botafogo FR
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Mirassol FC0–2
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–2
- Dvs RB Bragantino1–1
- Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
- Lat Flamengo0–3
CR Vasco da Gama
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Coritiba FBC5–0
- Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
- Lat Fluminense FC0–1
- Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
- Lat SE Palmeiras1–4
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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51%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.