Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 29

Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 29
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Botafogo FR win42%
Draw24%
CR Vasco da Gama win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.47

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Botafogo FR have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. CR Vasco da Gama arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 2–26.5%
  • 2–06.0%
  • 3–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticBotafogo FRCR Vasco da Gama
Matches played1312
Points per match0.921.58
Goals per match0.851.67
Goals conceded per match1.541.58
Home / away goals scored98
Home / away goals conceded89
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded68
Win percentage23%50%

Botafogo FR recent form

DWLLW

CR Vasco da Gama recent form

DLWLW

Recent form

Botafogo FR

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Mirassol FC0–2
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–2
  • Dvs RB Bragantino1–1
  • Dvs SE Palmeiras0–0
  • Lat Flamengo0–3

CR Vasco da Gama

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Coritiba FBC5–0
  • Wat Grêmio FBPA2–1
  • Lat Fluminense FC0–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–1
  • Lat SE Palmeiras1–4

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 September 2026
Last updated: 7 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.