Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Paderborn 07 win58%
Draw21%
VfB Stuttgart win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.09 – 1.20
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SC Paderborn 07 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–07.8%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–25.8%
- 3–05.7%
- 1–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Paderborn 07 | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.89 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 44% |
SC Paderborn 07 recent form
LDWDD
VfB Stuttgart recent form
WLLWW
Recent form
SC Paderborn 07
1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0–3
- Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
- Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0
VfB Stuttgart
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
- Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
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SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
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Draw
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Away
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.