Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Sat 10 Oct, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Paderborn 07 win58%

Draw21%

VfB Stuttgart win21%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 64%
Under 2.5 goals: 36%
BTTS yes: 61%

Over 1.5 goals: 84%
Over 3.5 goals: 42%
BTTS no: 39%
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.19

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Paderborn 07 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.8%
1–19.4%
2–08.2%
1–07.8%
3–16.8%
2–25.8%
3–05.7%
1–25.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	SC Paderborn 07	VfB Stuttgart
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	0.75
Goals per match	0.75	1.50
Goals conceded per match	1.25	2.25
Home / away goals scored	3	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	7
Last 5 points	4	3
Last 5 goals scored	3	6
Last 5 goals conceded	5	9
Win percentage	25%	25%

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

DLLW

VfB Stuttgart recent form

LWLL

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–1
Lat Borussia Dortmund0–3
Lvs SC Freiburg0–1
Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0

VfB Stuttgart

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
Wvs Viking FK3–1
Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
Lat Bayern Munich1–5

Team news

SC Paderborn 07

No tracked team news threads open.

All SC Paderborn 07 news →

VfB Stuttgart

All VfB Stuttgart news →

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.