Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Paderborn 07 win60%
Draw19%
SC Freiburg win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.42 – 1.41

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Paderborn 07 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. SC Freiburg's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. SC Freiburg arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.0%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 3–17.2%
  • 2–06.4%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–05.3%
  • 1–25.2%
  • 3–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSC Paderborn 07SC Freiburg
Matches played44
Points per match1.002.50
Goals per match0.753.00
Goals conceded per match1.250.75
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points410
Last 5 goals scored312
Last 5 goals conceded53
Win percentage25%75%

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

DLLW

SC Freiburg recent form

WWWD

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

0W 1D 0L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 0 conceded

  • Dat 1. FSV Mainz 050–0

SC Freiburg

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Lat Hamburger SV2–3
  • Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0–4

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.