Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

SC Paderborn 07 vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Paderborn 07 win48%
Draw28%
FC Schalke 04 win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.83

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees SC Paderborn 07's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model credits FC Schalke 04 with an above-average away defensive record.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.3%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–011.6%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–25.3%
  • 3–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSC Paderborn 07FC Schalke 04
Matches played99
Points per match1.110.67
Goals per match0.890.56
Goals conceded per match1.221.22
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded68
Last 5 points61
Last 5 goals scored52
Last 5 goals conceded67
Win percentage22%11%

SC Paderborn 07 recent form

LDWDD

FC Schalke 04 recent form

LLDLL

Recent form

SC Paderborn 07

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
  • Dat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–0
  • Wvs Hamburger SV1–0
  • Dat SV Werder Bremen2–2
  • Lvs VfB Stuttgart0–2

FC Schalke 04

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Lvs RB Leipzig0–2
  • Dat 1. FC Köln0–0
  • Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–1
  • Lat SC Freiburg1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.