Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win91%
Draw6%
SV Werder Bremen win3%
Predicted score
4–0
Over 2.5 goals
91%
Under 2.5 goals
9%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
79%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
4.52 – 0.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 4–07.6%
  • 4–17.3%
  • 5–06.9%
  • 3–06.7%
  • 5–16.6%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 6–05.2%
  • 6–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSC FreiburgSV Werder Bremen
Matches played44
Points per match2.501.75
Goals per match3.002.00
Goals conceded per match0.752.00
Home / away goals scored92
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points107
Last 5 goals scored128
Last 5 goals conceded38
Win percentage75%50%

SC Freiburg recent form

WWWD

SV Werder Bremen recent form

LWDW

Recent form

SC Freiburg

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Lat Hamburger SV2–3
  • Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund0–4
  • Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–1

SV Werder Bremen

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–2
  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–1
  • Lvs FC Augsburg1–3
  • Dat VfB Stuttgart1–1
  • Wvs Hamburger SV3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.