Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

SC Freiburg vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win58%
Draw18%
RB Leipzig win24%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Under 2.5 goals
20%
BTTS yes
75%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
62%
BTTS no
25%
Expected goals
2.61 – 1.68

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RB Leipzig's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–17.9%
  • 3–16.8%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 3–25.7%
  • 1–25.1%
  • 2–04.7%
  • 4–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSC FreiburgRB Leipzig
Matches played99
Points per match2.112.00
Goals per match2.223.00
Goals conceded per match1.111.44
Home / away goals scored144
Home / away goals conceded511
Last 5 points912
Last 5 goals scored818
Last 5 goals conceded78
Win percentage67%67%

SC Freiburg recent form

WLLWW

RB Leipzig recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

SC Freiburg

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
  • Wat FC Augsburg2–1
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–3
  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1

RB Leipzig

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs FC Augsburg5–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC2–3
  • Wat FC Schalke 042–0
  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg4–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.