Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Freiburg win78%
Draw13%
FC Schalke 04 win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 3.09 – 1.03
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SC Freiburg have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits FC Schalke 04 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SC Freiburg's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.3%
- 2–18.0%
- 3–08.0%
- 2–07.8%
- 4–16.4%
- 4–06.2%
- 1–15.2%
- 1–05.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Freiburg | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.11 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 0.56 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 11% |
SC Freiburg recent form
WLLWW
FC Schalke 04 recent form
LLDLL
Recent form
SC Freiburg
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 4 conceded
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0
- Wat SC Paderborn 071–0
- Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
FC Schalke 04
1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs SV 07 Elversberg0–0
- Wat 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
- Dvs Bayern Munich0–0
- Lat FC Augsburg0–3
Team news
SC Freiburg
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.