Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win78%
Draw13%
FC Schalke 04 win9%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
3.09 – 1.01

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Freiburg have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits FC Schalke 04 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SC Freiburg's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–18.3%
  • 3–08.2%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 4–16.4%
  • 4–06.3%
  • 1–15.2%
  • 1–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSC FreiburgFC Schalke 04
Matches played44
Points per match2.501.25
Goals per match3.000.75
Goals conceded per match0.751.00
Home / away goals scored93
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points105
Last 5 goals scored123
Last 5 goals conceded34
Win percentage75%25%

SC Freiburg recent form

WWWD

FC Schalke 04 recent form

LDWD

Recent form

SC Freiburg

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0
  • Wat SC Paderborn 071–0
  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1

FC Schalke 04

1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs SV 07 Elversberg0–0
  • Wat 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
  • Dvs Bayern Munich0–0
  • Lat FC Augsburg0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.