Bundesliga · Matchweek 3

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win83%
Draw10%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win7%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
3.57 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given SC Freiburg's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour SC Freiburg, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.9%
  • 3–07.7%
  • 4–17.1%
  • 4–06.9%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 5–15.1%
  • 5–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSC FreiburgBorussia Mönchengladbach
Matches played44
Points per match2.500.00
Goals per match3.001.50
Goals conceded per match0.754.00
Home / away goals scored90
Home / away goals conceded18
Last 5 points100
Last 5 goals scored126
Last 5 goals conceded316
Win percentage75%0%

SC Freiburg recent form

WWWD

Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form

LLLL

Recent form

SC Freiburg

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat SC Paderborn 071–0
  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Lat Hamburger SV2–3
  • Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1–1

Borussia Mönchengladbach

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
  • Lat RB Leipzig0–3
  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
  • Lat FC Augsburg1–3
  • Wvs Borussia Dortmund1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.