Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Freiburg win83%
Draw10%
Borussia Mönchengladbach win7%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 83%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 67%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 3.57 – 1.03
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects fewer away goals given SC Freiburg's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour SC Freiburg, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.9%
- 3–07.7%
- 4–17.1%
- 4–06.9%
- 2–16.7%
- 2–06.5%
- 5–15.1%
- 5–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Freiburg | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.11 | 0.44 |
| Goals per match | 2.22 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.11 | 2.78 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 15 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 11% |
SC Freiburg recent form
WLLWW
Borussia Mönchengladbach recent form
LLWDL
Recent form
SC Freiburg
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat SC Paderborn 071–0
- Wvs SV Werder Bremen4–1
- Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
- Lat Hamburger SV2–3
- Dvs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs SV 07 Elversberg3–4
- Lat RB Leipzig0–3
- Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
- Lat FC Augsburg1–3
- Wvs Borussia Dortmund1–0
Team news
SC Freiburg
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.