Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23

SC Corinthians Paulista vs Cruzeiro EC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 16 Aug, 23:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 23
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Corinthians Paulista win27%
Draw27%
Cruzeiro EC win47%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.42

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Cruzeiro EC with an above-average away defensive record. Cruzeiro EC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–112.7%
  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–29.0%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 2–24.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSC Corinthians PaulistaCruzeiro EC
Matches played66
Points per match0.002.00
Goals per match0.832.00
Goals conceded per match2.001.50
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded87
Last 5 points09
Last 5 goals scored410
Last 5 goals conceded108
Win percentage0%67%

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LLLLL

Cruzeiro EC recent form

WLWLW

Recent form

SC Corinthians Paulista

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs EC Juventude1–1
  • Lat Fortaleza EC1–2
  • Dvs Botafogo FR2–2
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC0–3
  • Wvs São Paulo FC3–1

Cruzeiro EC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Santos FC0–3
  • Dvs Botafogo FR2–2
  • Dat Ceará SC1–1
  • Wvs SC Corinthians Paulista3–0
  • Dat EC Juventude3–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.