Eredivisie · Matchweek 12

SBV Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win34%
Draw20%
Go Ahead Eagles win46%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
76%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
24%
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.22

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Go Ahead Eagles, who have shipped goals above the Eredivisie average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–27.2%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 2–16.5%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 2–35.4%
  • 3–24.6%
  • 3–14.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSBV ExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles
Matches played77
Points per match1.141.14
Goals per match1.572.14
Goals conceded per match2.292.29
Home / away goals scored48
Home / away goals conceded811
Last 5 points24
Last 5 goals scored610
Last 5 goals conceded1513
Win percentage29%14%

SBV Excelsior recent form

DLDLL

Go Ahead Eagles recent form

LDDDD

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 15 conceded

  • Lat SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lvs FC Groningen1–5
  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2
  • Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
  • Dat NEC2–2

Go Ahead Eagles

0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dvs Sparta Rotterdam3–3
  • Dat NEC1–1
  • Dvs FC Groningen1–1
  • Dat FC Utrecht3–3
  • Lat AZ2–5

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
681
1X2 accuracy
47.3%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.0%
Exact score
10.4%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.