Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs AZ Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win18%
Draw16%
AZ win66%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
65%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.51 – 2.93

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AZ with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. AZ arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 1–45.5%
  • 1–15.2%
  • 0–25.1%
  • 0–34.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSC Cambuur-LeeuwardenAZ
Matches played55
Points per match1.002.60
Goals per match1.802.40
Goals conceded per match2.401.00
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded92
Last 5 points513
Last 5 goals scored912
Last 5 goals conceded125
Win percentage20%80%

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden recent form

LLDWD

AZ recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dat ADO Den Haag1–1
  • Wvs NEC3–0
  • Dat Telstar 19632–2
  • Lvs FC Twente '651–4
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam2–5

AZ

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Telstar 19631–0
  • Dvs Willem II Tilburg1–1
  • Wat SC Heerenveen3–2
  • Wvs Go Ahead Eagles5–2
  • Wat Fortuna Sittard2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.