Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win24%
Draw17%
SC Heerenveen win58%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
80%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
70%
BTTS no
20%
Expected goals
1.89 – 2.87

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates FC Groningen's home scoring output above the Eredivisie average. The model credits SC Heerenveen with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. SC Heerenveen arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–26.7%
  • 1–36.4%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 2–36.0%
  • 1–14.7%
  • 1–44.6%
  • 2–14.4%
  • 2–44.3%

Team comparison

StatisticFC GroningenSC Heerenveen
Matches played1111
Points per match1.091.64
Goals per match2.452.09
Goals conceded per match2.451.45
Home / away goals scored1111
Home / away goals conceded138
Last 5 points412
Last 5 goals scored1413
Last 5 goals conceded157
Win percentage27%45%

FC Groningen recent form

WLDLL

SC Heerenveen recent form

LWWWW

Recent form

FC Groningen

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 15 conceded

  • Lat AZ3–4
  • Lvs Sparta Rotterdam2–3
  • Dat NEC2–2
  • Lvs AFC Ajax2–5
  • Wat SBV Excelsior5–1

SC Heerenveen

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Feyenoord Rotterdam5–3
  • Wvs NEC1–0
  • Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
  • Wvs SBV Excelsior4–0
  • Lat PSV0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Eredivisie

NEC vs PSV

Home

16%

Draw

15%

Away

69%

Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.