Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

NEC vs PSV Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

NEC win16%
Draw15%
PSV win69%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
83%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
67%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.49 – 3.08

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees NEC's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits PSV with an above-average away defensive record. PSV carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–37.5%
  • 1–27.3%
  • 1–45.8%
  • 2–35.6%
  • 2–25.5%
  • 0–35.1%
  • 0–24.9%
  • 1–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticNECPSV
Matches played1010
Points per match1.102.20
Goals per match1.503.60
Goals conceded per match1.801.20
Home / away goals scored817
Home / away goals conceded109
Last 5 points610
Last 5 goals scored816
Last 5 goals conceded85
Win percentage20%70%

NEC recent form

DDDLW

PSV recent form

WLDWW

Recent form

NEC

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wat FC Utrecht3–2
  • Lat SC Heerenveen0–1
  • Dvs FC Groningen2–2
  • Dvs Fortuna Sittard2–2
  • Dat AFC Ajax1–1

PSV

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden5–2
  • Lvs Club Brugge KV1–2
  • Wvs Willem II Tilburg7–0
  • Dvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–1
  • Wat FC Porto1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.