Eredivisie · Matchweek 14

SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 14
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win18%
Draw20%
Telstar 1963 win62%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
1.07 – 2.14

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SBV Excelsior have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.9%
  • 0–29.3%
  • 1–19.3%
  • 0–18.7%
  • 1–37.0%
  • 0–36.6%
  • 2–25.3%
  • 2–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSBV ExcelsiorTelstar 1963
Matches played1010
Points per match0.800.70
Goals per match1.101.50
Goals conceded per match2.702.10
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded187
Last 5 points05
Last 5 goals scored113
Last 5 goals conceded2013
Win percentage20%10%

SBV Excelsior recent form

LLLLL

Telstar 1963 recent form

DLLWD

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 20 conceded

  • Lvs Go Ahead Eagles0–1
  • Lvs FC Twente '650–9
  • Lat Fortuna Sittard0–1
  • Lat SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lvs FC Groningen1–5

Telstar 1963

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 13 conceded

  • Dat Fortuna Sittard2–2
  • Wvs FC Utrecht4–2
  • Lat Go Ahead Eagles2–3
  • Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam3–4
  • Dvs ADO Den Haag2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 28 Nov, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Eredivisie

NEC vs PSV

Home

16%

Draw

15%

Away

69%

Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.