Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

NEC vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

NEC win34%

Draw21%

Fortuna Sittard win45%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 71%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 51%
BTTS no: 29%
Expected goals: 1.72 – 1.99

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

NEC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Fortuna Sittard arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–18.4%
1–28.4%
2–17.2%
2–27.2%
1–35.5%
0–14.9%
0–24.9%
2–34.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	NEC	Fortuna Sittard
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	1.80
Goals per match	1.40	1.60
Goals conceded per match	2.00	2.20
Home / away goals scored	4	7
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	5	9
Last 5 goals scored	7	8
Last 5 goals conceded	10	11
Win percentage	20%	60%

NEC recent form

WLDLD

Fortuna Sittard recent form

LWWLW

Recent form

NEC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
Wat PEC Zwolle3–1

Fortuna Sittard

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

Wat Willem II Tilburg1–0
Lvs AFC Ajax1–5
Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
Wat FC Groningen3–2
Lvs AZ0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.