Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
NEC vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
NEC win30%
Draw22%
Fortuna Sittard win48%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.99
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
NEC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Fortuna Sittard arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–35.9%
- 0–15.7%
- 0–25.7%
- 2–34.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | NEC | Fortuna Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 40% |
NEC recent form
DDDLW
Fortuna Sittard recent form
DDWDD
Recent form
NEC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat AFC Ajax1–1
- Dvs Go Ahead Eagles1–1
- Lat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden0–3
- Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
- Lvs Feyenoord Rotterdam1–3
Fortuna Sittard
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Dvs FC Twente '651–1
- Wat Willem II Tilburg1–0
- Lvs AFC Ajax1–5
- Wat ADO Den Haag3–2
- Wat FC Groningen3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.