Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 15:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 15:45 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

FC Groningen win16%

Draw15%

AFC Ajax win69%

Predicted score: 1–3
Over 2.5 goals: 84%
Under 2.5 goals: 16%
BTTS yes: 74%

Over 1.5 goals: 94%
Over 3.5 goals: 67%
BTTS no: 26%
Expected goals: 1.51 – 3.10

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AFC Ajax with an above-average away defensive record. AFC Ajax carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. AFC Ajax arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–37.5%
1–27.3%
1–45.8%
2–35.7%
2–25.5%
0–35.0%
0–24.8%
1–14.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	FC Groningen	AFC Ajax
Matches played	6	6
Points per match	1.33	1.83
Goals per match	2.17	3.17
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.50
Home / away goals scored	7	9
Home / away goals conceded	5	1
Last 5 points	5	10
Last 5 goals scored	9	17
Last 5 goals conceded	11	7
Win percentage	33%	50%

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

Recent form

FC Groningen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Dvs FC Twente '652–2
Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
Lat PSV1–5

AFC Ajax

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 7 conceded

Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Wvs Willem II Tilburg5–1
Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.