Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
FC Groningen vs AFC Ajax Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 15:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Groningen win21%
Draw17%
AFC Ajax win62%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 83%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 1.67 – 2.85
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour FC Groningen, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits AFC Ajax with an above-average away defensive record. AFC Ajax carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.4%
- 1–37.0%
- 2–26.2%
- 2–35.9%
- 1–15.2%
- 1–45.0%
- 0–24.4%
- 2–14.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Groningen | AFC Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.09 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.45 | 2.73 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.45 | 1.36 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 18 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 15 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 55% |
FC Groningen recent form
WLDLL
AFC Ajax recent form
DWWWD
Recent form
FC Groningen
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat SBV Excelsior5–1
- Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
- Dvs FC Twente '652–2
- Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
AFC Ajax
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 8 conceded
- Dvs NEC1–1
- Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
- Wvs Willem II Tilburg5–1
- Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
- Lvs PSV1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.