Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 25

São Paulo FC vs RB Bragantino Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 30 Aug, 00:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 25
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

São Paulo FC win30%
Draw27%
RB Bragantino win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.40

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees São Paulo FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A baseline. The model credits RB Bragantino with an above-average away defensive record. RB Bragantino arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.6%
  • 0–111.4%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 0–08.1%
  • 0–28.0%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 2–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSão Paulo FCRB Bragantino
Matches played65
Points per match1.670.80
Goals per match1.001.20
Goals conceded per match0.831.60
Home / away goals scored63
Home / away goals conceded25
Last 5 points94
Last 5 goals scored56
Last 5 goals conceded48
Win percentage50%20%

São Paulo FC recent form

LWWLW

RB Bragantino recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

São Paulo FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
  • Dvs Coritiba FBC1–1
  • Lat EC Vitória0–1
  • Wvs SC Internacional3–0
  • Lat Fluminense FC0–6

RB Bragantino

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
  • Lat SC Internacional1–3
  • Wvs EC Vitória4–0
  • Lvs Fortaleza EC0–1
  • Lat Flamengo0–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.