Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23

São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

São Paulo FC win41%
Draw26%
Coritiba FBC win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.26

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 109.7%
  • 218.7%
  • 018.5%
  • 127.7%
  • 206.9%
  • 006.8%
  • 225.5%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.