Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 23
São Paulo FC vs Coritiba FBC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 16 Aug, 01:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 23
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
São Paulo FC win41%
Draw26%
Coritiba FBC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.43 – 1.26
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
São Paulo FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–06.9%
- 0–06.8%
- 2–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | São Paulo FC | Coritiba FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 2.33 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
São Paulo FC recent form
LWWLW
Coritiba FBC recent form
WWLDL
Recent form
São Paulo FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs SC Internacional3–0
- Lat Fluminense FC0–6
- Wvs EC Juventude2–1
- Lat SC Corinthians Paulista1–3
Coritiba FBC
No recent completed fixtures on record.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
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Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
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Home
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Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.