Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Botafogo FR vs CR Vasco da Gama
Home
42%
Draw
24%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 26
São Paulo FC vs CA Mineiro Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Sept, 22:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
- Round
- Matchweek 26
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
São Paulo FC win37%
Draw28%
CA Mineiro win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 41%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS yes
- 47%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 67%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS no
- 53%
- Expected goals
- 1.18 – 1.13
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
CA Mineiro have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. CA Mineiro arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–111.2%
- 0–09.9%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–06.9%
- 0–26.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | São Paulo FC | CA Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 6 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
São Paulo FC recent form
LWWLW
CA Mineiro recent form
DWLWD
Recent form
São Paulo FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs RB Bragantino2–1
- Lat Chapecoense AF0–1
- Dvs Coritiba FBC1–1
- Lat EC Vitória0–1
- Wvs SC Internacional3–0
CA Mineiro
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs EC Vitória2–1
- Dat SC Internacional0–0
- Wvs Grêmio FBPA3–0
- Wvs CR Vasco da Gama5–0
- Lvs SE Palmeiras0–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Santos FC vs Flamengo
Home
27%
Draw
22%
Away
51%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
CA Paranaense vs CA Mineiro
Home
51%
Draw
23%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 58%
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Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
SE Palmeiras vs EC Bahia
Home
60%
Draw
19%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 66%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.