Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 33

Santos FC vs SE Palmeiras Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 33
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Santos FC win43%
Draw28%
SE Palmeiras win29%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
1.28 – 0.99

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SE Palmeiras with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Santos FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.3%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSantos FCSE Palmeiras
Matches played75
Points per match2.711.80
Goals per match2.001.40
Goals conceded per match0.860.40
Home / away goals scored31
Home / away goals conceded21
Last 5 points159
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded52
Win percentage86%40%

Santos FC recent form

WWWWW

SE Palmeiras recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

Santos FC

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat São Paulo FC2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC2–1
  • Wat SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista1–0

SE Palmeiras

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Dat Botafogo FR0–0
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 October 2026
Last updated: 8 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.