Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 32

EC Vitória vs CA Paranaense Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 32
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

EC Vitória win32%
Draw22%
CA Paranaense win46%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
67%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
46%
BTTS no
33%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.92

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

EC Vitória have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against CA Paranaense, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. CA Paranaense's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.2%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–15.9%
  • 0–25.6%
  • 1–35.6%
  • 1–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticEC VitóriaCA Paranaense
Matches played65
Points per match1.171.60
Goals per match1.002.40
Goals conceded per match1.502.40
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded58
Last 5 points48
Last 5 goals scored512
Last 5 goals conceded912
Win percentage33%40%

EC Vitória recent form

LLWDL

CA Paranaense recent form

WDLDW

Recent form

EC Vitória

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dat Mirassol FC2–2
  • Wvs Grêmio FBPA1–0
  • Lat CA Mineiro1–2
  • Lvs EC Bahia0–2

CA Paranaense

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia2–1
  • Dat Coritiba FBC3–3
  • Lat Cruzeiro EC1–3
  • Dvs Fluminense FC3–3
  • Wat Botafogo FR3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.