Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

SE Palmeiras vs SC Corinthians Paulista Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SE Palmeiras win79%
Draw14%
SC Corinthians Paulista win7%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
44%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
56%
Expected goals
2.59 – 0.64

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour SE Palmeiras, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. SE Palmeiras's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour SE Palmeiras, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–013.2%
  • 3–011.4%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–18.5%
  • 4–07.4%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 1–16.6%
  • 4–14.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSE PalmeirasSC Corinthians Paulista
Matches played56
Points per match1.800.00
Goals per match1.400.83
Goals conceded per match0.402.00
Home / away goals scored62
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points90
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded210
Win percentage40%0%

SE Palmeiras recent form

WDDWD

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

SE Palmeiras

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Dat Botafogo FR0–0
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1
  • Wvs CR Vasco da Gama4–1

SC Corinthians Paulista

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Fluminense FC1–3
  • Lat Flamengo1–2
  • Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2
  • Lvs Santos FC0–1
  • Lat Coritiba FBC1–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.