Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

SE Palmeiras vs SC Corinthians Paulista Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 21:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SE Palmeiras win77%
Draw16%
SC Corinthians Paulista win7%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals
45%
BTTS yes
38%
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
BTTS no
62%
Expected goals
2.32 – 0.55

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SE Palmeiras's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour SE Palmeiras, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–015.3%
  • 1–013.2%
  • 3–011.8%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 4–06.9%
  • 3–16.5%
  • 0–05.7%

Team comparison

StatisticSE PalmeirasSC Corinthians Paulista
Matches played1112
Points per match2.270.42
Goals per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match0.361.83
Home / away goals scored196
Home / away goals conceded313
Last 5 points135
Last 5 goals scored146
Last 5 goals conceded28
Win percentage64%8%

SE Palmeiras recent form

WWWDW

SC Corinthians Paulista recent form

LDLWD

Recent form

SE Palmeiras

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wvs EC Bahia1–0
  • Dat Grêmio FBPA0–0
  • Wvs São Paulo FC2–0
  • Dat Botafogo FR0–0
  • Dat Mirassol FC1–1

SC Corinthians Paulista

0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat SC Internacional1–2
  • Lvs Fluminense FC1–3
  • Lat Flamengo1–2
  • Lvs Chapecoense AF1–2
  • Lvs Santos FC0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.