Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Mineiro win35%
Draw24%
Santos FC win41%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.55

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Santos FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Santos FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Santos FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 2–26.2%
  • 0–26.2%
  • 2–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticCA MineiroSantos FC
Matches played1313
Points per match1.621.92
Goals per match1.311.62
Goals conceded per match1.001.08
Home / away goals scored1315
Home / away goals conceded59
Last 5 points65
Last 5 goals scored55
Last 5 goals conceded66
Win percentage46%54%

CA Mineiro recent form

WWLLL

Santos FC recent form

LWDDL

Recent form

CA Mineiro

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat CA Paranaense2–2
  • Wvs RB Bragantino1–0
  • Dvs Chapecoense AF1–1
  • Wvs Fluminense FC3–1
  • Lat São Paulo FC0–2

Santos FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Flamengo2–2
  • Wat São Paulo FC2–1
  • Wat Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC2–1
  • Wat SC Internacional3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.