Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 30

CA Mineiro vs Santos FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 30
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

CA Mineiro win35%
Draw24%
Santos FC win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.56

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Santos FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Santos FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–07.2%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 0–26.0%
  • 2–05.2%

Team comparison

StatisticCA MineiroSantos FC
Matches played66
Points per match1.832.67
Goals per match1.502.00
Goals conceded per match0.830.83
Home / away goals scored99
Home / away goals conceded33
Last 5 points813
Last 5 goals scored69
Last 5 goals conceded55
Win percentage50%83%

CA Mineiro recent form

DWLWD

Santos FC recent form

DWWWW

Recent form

CA Mineiro

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Chapecoense AF1–1
  • Wvs Fluminense FC3–1
  • Lat São Paulo FC0–2
  • Wvs EC Vitória2–1
  • Dat SC Internacional0–0

Santos FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Clube do Remo2–1
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC2–1
  • Wat SC Internacional3–2
  • Wat SC Corinthians Paulista1–0
  • Dvs Mirassol FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.