Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24

Santos FC vs Mirassol FC Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Santos FC win37%
Draw27%
Mirassol FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Under 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.26

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Mirassol FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Mirassol FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Recent results also favour Santos FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1010.1%
  • 019.9%
  • 218.1%
  • 128.0%
  • 007.9%
  • 206.4%
  • 026.3%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.