Campeonato Brasileiro Série A · Matchweek 24

Santos FC vs Mirassol FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 22:30 (BST)
Competition
Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Round
Matchweek 24
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Santos FC win72%
Draw16%
Mirassol FC win13%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
2.67 – 1.06

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Santos FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against Mirassol FC, who have shipped goals above the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A average on the road. Santos FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.1%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–18.1%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 1–16.8%
  • 1–06.4%
  • 4–15.4%
  • 4–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSantos FCMirassol FC
Matches played67
Points per match2.671.29
Goals per match2.001.29
Goals conceded per match0.831.71
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points138
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded56
Win percentage83%29%

Santos FC recent form

DWWWW

Mirassol FC recent form

DLWDW

Recent form

Santos FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 1 conceded

  • Wat CR Vasco da Gama3–0
  • Wvs Cruzeiro EC3–0
  • Wat EC Juventude3–0
  • Wvs SC Recife3–0
  • Dat SC Internacional1–1

Mirassol FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Flamengo1–5
  • Dvs Flamengo3–3
  • Wat CR Vasco da Gama2–0
  • Lat EC Vitória0–2
  • Wvs Ceará SC3–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.