Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RC Strasbourg Alsace win34%
Draw23%
Paris Saint-Germain win43%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.51 – 1.74
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Paris Saint-Germain with an above-average away defensive record. Paris Saint-Germain carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Paris Saint-Germain arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.7%
- 0–16.7%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–05.9%
- 0–25.9%
- 1–35.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RC Strasbourg Alsace | Paris Saint-Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 15 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 70% |
RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form
LLLWL
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
RC Strasbourg Alsace
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat OGC Nice1–2
- Lat Paris FC1–2
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Manchester City FC4–2
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–1
- Wat Olympique de Marseille2–1
- Wat Stade Brestois 291–0
- Wvs ŠK Slovan Bratislava6–1
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- United ease troubles with sensational Roma comeback, PSG rampant in Champions League
- Bradley Barcola transfer news: Arsenal could hijack Liverpool's move for PSG winger - Paper Talk
- Can PSG win a third straight Champions League without injured Kvaratskhelia?
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal, Chelsea, City tracking PSG star Doué
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.