Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RC Strasbourg Alsace win31%
Draw28%
FC Lorient win41%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS yes
- 48%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.09 – 1.29
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates RC Strasbourg Alsace's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. FC Lorient have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. FC Lorient arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–112.0%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–09.3%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–27.7%
- 2–17.1%
- 2–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RC Strasbourg Alsace | FC Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 2 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 40% |
RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form
LLLWL
FC Lorient recent form
WWDLW
Recent form
RC Strasbourg Alsace
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Toulouse FC1–3
- Wvs AJ Auxerre5–1
- Lat Stade Rennais FC 19010–3
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–3
- Lat OGC Nice1–2
FC Lorient
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Le Havre AC2–0
- Lvs Stade Brestois 290–2
- Dat Angers SCO0–0
- Wvs AS Monaco FC1–0
- Wvs Paris FC1–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
AS Monaco FC vs Angers SCO
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 48%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Paris FC vs Le Mans FC
Home
73%
Draw
16%
Away
11%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 53%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.