Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Paris FC vs Le Mans FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Paris FC win73%
Draw16%
Le Mans FC win11%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 34%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 2.53 – 0.86
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Paris FC's home scoring output above the Ligue 1 average. Le Mans FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Paris FC's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–08.5%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.4%
- 4–05.7%
- 4–15.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris FC | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 10% |
Paris FC recent form
LWLWW
Le Mans FC recent form
LLDLD
Recent form
Paris FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat AJ Auxerre1–0
- Wvs AS Monaco FC3–1
- Lat Racing Club de Lens1–2
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19014–3
- Lat FC Lorient0–1
Le Mans FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded
- Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
- Lat ES Troyes AC0–2
- Dat AJ Auxerre1–1
- Lvs Toulouse FC0–3
- Lat Paris Saint-Germain1–3
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC Lorient
Home
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Draw
28%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 42%BTTS: 48%
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AS Monaco FC vs Angers SCO
Home
64%
Draw
21%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 52%BTTS: 48%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.