Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Monaco FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Strasbourg Alsace win33%
Draw23%
AS Monaco FC win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.78

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour RC Strasbourg Alsace, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits AS Monaco FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 1–28.9%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 0–25.8%
  • 1–05.6%
  • 1–35.2%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Strasbourg AlsaceAS Monaco FC
Matches played55
Points per match1.402.60
Goals per match2.001.60
Goals conceded per match2.000.60
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points713
Last 5 goals scored108
Last 5 goals conceded103
Win percentage40%80%

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

LWWDL

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

RC Strasbourg Alsace

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
  • Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
  • Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4
  • Wat Stade Brestois 292–1

AS Monaco FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
  • Wat Le Havre AC1–0
  • Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
  • Lvs Lille OSC0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.