Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AS Monaco FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RC Strasbourg Alsace win33%
Draw23%
AS Monaco FC win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 65%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS no
- 35%
- Expected goals
- 1.53 – 1.78
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour RC Strasbourg Alsace, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits AS Monaco FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–26.8%
- 0–16.5%
- 0–25.8%
- 1–05.6%
- 1–35.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RC Strasbourg Alsace | AS Monaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.20 | 1.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 40% |
RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form
LLLWL
AS Monaco FC recent form
DLDLD
Recent form
RC Strasbourg Alsace
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 12 conceded
- Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
- Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–4
- Wvs AS Monaco FC5–4
- Wat Stade Brestois 292–1
AS Monaco FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.