Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs AJ Auxerre Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RC Strasbourg Alsace win67%
Draw17%
AJ Auxerre win16%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.74 – 1.32

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against AJ Auxerre, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.6%
  • 3–17.8%
  • 2–06.5%
  • 1–16.3%
  • 3–05.9%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 4–15.3%
  • 3–25.2%

Team comparison

StatisticRC Strasbourg AlsaceAJ Auxerre
Matches played65
Points per match1.171.20
Goals per match1.831.40
Goals conceded per match2.002.40
Home / away goals scored33
Home / away goals conceded28
Last 5 points76
Last 5 goals scored117
Last 5 goals conceded812
Win percentage33%40%

RC Strasbourg Alsace recent form

WWDLL

AJ Auxerre recent form

LLLWW

Recent form

RC Strasbourg Alsace

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat OGC Nice1–2
  • Lat Paris FC1–2
  • Dvs AS Monaco FC1–1
  • Wat ES Troyes AC6–2
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1

AJ Auxerre

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Stade Brestois 292–1
  • Wvs OGC Nice1–0
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1–3
  • Lvs Angers SCO1–3
  • Lat Racing Club de Lens2–5

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
582
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
56.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.