Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7

Paris FC vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Paris FC win65%
Draw20%
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win16%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
2.15 – 0.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Stade Rennais FC 1901, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Paris FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 3–07.4%
  • 3–17.1%
  • 2–24.8%
  • 0–04.4%

Team comparison

StatisticParis FCStade Rennais FC 1901
Matches played55
Points per match2.202.00
Goals per match1.601.60
Goals conceded per match0.601.80
Home / away goals scored52
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points1110
Last 5 goals scored88
Last 5 goals conceded39
Win percentage60%60%

Paris FC recent form

DWWDW

Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form

DWWWL

Recent form

Paris FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
  • Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
  • Wvs OGC Nice3–0
  • Dat ES Troyes AC0–0

Stade Rennais FC 1901

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais0–4
  • Wvs Olympique de Marseille1–0
  • Wat Angers SCO2–1
  • Wvs Le Mans FC3–2
  • Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.