Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7
Paris FC vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Paris FC win61%
Draw21%
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win18%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 57%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 43%
- Expected goals
- 2.07 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Stade Rennais FC 1901, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Paris FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.6%
- 2–09.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 3–16.9%
- 3–06.6%
- 2–25.2%
- 1–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris FC | Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 50% |
Paris FC recent form
LWLWW
Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form
WLWLL
Recent form
Paris FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat FC Lorient0–1
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–1
- Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0–0
- Wat Olympique de Marseille3–2
- Wvs OGC Nice3–0
Stade Rennais FC 1901
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Wvs AJ Auxerre4–1
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais0–4
- Wvs Olympique de Marseille1–0
- Wat Angers SCO2–1
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.