Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice
Home
53%
Draw
26%
Away
21%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 42%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8
Toulouse FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 24 Oct, 16:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Toulouse FC win48%
Draw25%
ES Troyes AC win27%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS yes
- 53%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS no
- 47%
- Expected goals
- 1.59 – 1.11
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.5%
- 0–17.5%
- 0–06.8%
- 1–26.6%
- 2–25.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Toulouse FC | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 20% |
Toulouse FC recent form
LDLDW
ES Troyes AC recent form
DWLLL
Recent form
Toulouse FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Le Havre AC3–2
- Dat FC Lorient2–2
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
- Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2
ES Troyes AC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat Angers SCO0–2
- Lat Lille OSC0–2
- Lvs RC Strasbourg Alsace2–6
- Wat FC Lorient2–1
- Dvs Paris FC0–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 511
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.0%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.7%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.