UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City FC Prediction

Wed 4 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RB Leipzig win46%

Draw22%

Manchester City FC win32%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 66%
Under 2.5 goals: 34%
BTTS yes: 66%

Over 1.5 goals: 85%
Over 3.5 goals: 44%
BTTS no: 34%
Expected goals: 1.88 – 1.53

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

RB Leipzig have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Manchester City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. RB Leipzig's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

1–19.5%
2–18.9%
1–27.3%
2–26.8%
1–06.2%
2–05.8%
3–15.6%
0–15.1%

Team comparison

Statistic	RB Leipzig	Manchester City FC
Matches played	2	2
Points per match	1.50	1.50
Goals per match	1.00	2.00
Goals conceded per match	2.00	2.00
Home / away goals scored	1	2
Home / away goals conceded	0	0
Last 5 points	3	3
Last 5 goals scored	2	4
Last 5 goals conceded	4	4
Win percentage	50%	50%

RB Leipzig recent form

Manchester City FC recent form

Recent form

RB Leipzig

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs PSV1–0
Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6–0
Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
Lat Como 19071–4

Manchester City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 7 conceded

Lvs Paris Saint-Germain2–4
Wat Liverpool FC3–0
Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
Wat Manchester United FC1–0
Wat FC Porto2–0

Team news

RB Leipzig

Premier League: 10 things to look out for as the new season kicks off

All RB Leipzig news →

Manchester City FC

All Manchester City FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.