UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Manchester City FC vs PAE AEK Prediction

Tue 20 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: Etihad Stadium, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester City FC win53%

Draw19%

PAE AEK win28%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 81%
Under 2.5 goals: 19%
BTTS yes: 77%

Over 1.5 goals: 93%
Over 3.5 goals: 64%
BTTS no: 23%
Expected goals: 2.54 – 1.84

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–17.4%
2–26.8%
3–16.3%
1–15.8%
3–25.8%
1–25.4%
2–34.2%
2–04.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	Manchester City FC	PAE AEK
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	2.25	0.75
Goals per match	3.00	1.25
Goals conceded per match	1.75	2.75
Home / away goals scored	7	2
Home / away goals conceded	5	8
Last 5 points	9	3
Last 5 goals scored	12	5
Last 5 goals conceded	7	11
Win percentage	75%	25%

Manchester City FC recent form

WLWW

PAE AEK recent form

WLLL

Recent form

Manchester City FC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 9 conceded

Wvs Ipswich Town FC3–2
Lvs Paris Saint-Germain2–4
Wat Liverpool FC3–0
Wvs Sunderland AFC5–3
Wat Manchester United FC1–0

PAE AEK

1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 3 conceded

Lat FK Shakhtar Donetsk1–3
Wvs LASK Linz1–0

Team news

Manchester City FC

All Manchester City FC news →

PAE AEK

No tracked team news threads open.

All PAE AEK news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.