UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Lille OSC win16%
Draw15%
Bayern Munich win70%
Predicted score
1–3
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
75%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
BTTS no
25%
Expected goals
1.53 – 3.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Lille OSC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bayern Munich have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Bayern Munich's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–37.4%
  • 1–27.0%
  • 1–45.9%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 0–34.8%
  • 0–24.6%
  • 2–44.5%

Team comparison

StatisticLille OSCBayern Munich
Matches played44
Points per match0.252.00
Goals per match1.003.00
Goals conceded per match2.501.25
Home / away goals scored45
Home / away goals conceded73
Last 5 points18
Last 5 goals scored412
Last 5 goals conceded105
Win percentage0%50%

Lille OSC recent form

LLLD

Bayern Munich recent form

WDDW

Recent form

Lille OSC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Stade Rennais FC 19012–1
  • Dat FK Bodø/Glimt0–0
  • Wvs Racing Club de Lens1–0
  • Dat AS Monaco FC1–1
  • Lvs Galatasaray2–4

Bayern Munich

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat 1. FSV Mainz 052–1
  • Wat Atlético Madrid2–0
  • Dvs Borussia Dortmund2–2
  • Wat SC Freiburg3–1
  • Dvs Arsenal FC2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.