UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5
Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Kick-off (local)
- Wed 25 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- Paris, France
United Matchday prediction
Paris Saint-Germain win82%
Draw9%
AS Roma win8%
- Predicted score
- 4–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 92%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 8%
- BTTS yes
- 77%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 98%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 82%
- BTTS no
- 23%
- Expected goals
- 4.22 – 1.50
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Paris Saint-Germain, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Paris Saint-Germain, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 4–16.7%
- 3–16.3%
- 5–15.6%
- 4–25.0%
- 3–24.8%
- 2–14.5%
- 4–04.4%
- 5–24.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Paris Saint-Germain | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 5.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 20 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 100% | 25% |
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
WWWW
AS Roma recent form
DLWL
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 18 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs ES Troyes AC1–0
- Wat Villarreal CF6–0
- Wat Le Havre AC5–1
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–0
- Wvs Barcelona4–2
AS Roma
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio3–0
- Lat Manchester United FC2–3
- Wat Udinese Calcio5–2
- Wvs Cagliari Calcio4–2
- Dat SSC Napoli3–3
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- United ease troubles with sensational Roma comeback, PSG rampant in Champions League
- Bradley Barcola transfer news: Arsenal could hijack Liverpool's move for PSG winger - Paper Talk
- Can PSG win a third straight Champions League without injured Kvaratskhelia?
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal, Chelsea, City tracking PSG star Doué
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
UEFA Champions League
Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
Home
16%
Draw
15%
Away
70%
- Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 75%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.