UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

Barcelona vs Aston Villa FC Prediction

Tue 3 Nov, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Kick-off (local): Tue 3 Nov, 21:00 (CET)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: Barcelona, Spain

United Matchday prediction

Barcelona win74%

Draw13%

Aston Villa FC win14%

Predicted score: 3–1
Over 2.5 goals: 90%
Under 2.5 goals: 10%
BTTS yes: 79%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 78%
BTTS no: 21%
Expected goals: 3.68 – 1.69

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Barcelona, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Aston Villa FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

3–16.6%
4–16.1%
3–25.6%
2–15.4%
4–25.1%
2–24.6%
5–14.5%
3–03.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	Barcelona	Aston Villa FC
Matches played	2	1
Points per match	3.00	3.00
Goals per match	4.50	3.00
Goals conceded per match	1.00	2.00
Home / away goals scored	5	3
Home / away goals conceded	1	2
Last 5 points	6	3
Last 5 goals scored	9	3
Last 5 goals conceded	2	2
Win percentage	100%	100%

Barcelona recent form

Aston Villa FC recent form

Recent form

Barcelona

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 21 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Galatasaray4–1
Wvs Getafe CF3–0
Wat Sevilla FC3–1
Wvs Real Racing Club de Santander7–2
Wat Levante UD4–2

Aston Villa FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

Dvs Brentford FC2–2
Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC3–2
Lvs Nottingham Forest FC1–2
Wat Club Brugge KV3–2
Dat Hull City AFC0–0

Team news

Barcelona

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Aston Villa FC

All Aston Villa FC news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.