UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 2
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win47%

Draw21%

Real Madrid win32%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.03 – 1.65

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Real Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.6%
1–18.5%
2–27.1%
1–27.0%
3–15.8%
2–05.2%
1–05.1%
3–24.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	AS Roma	Real Madrid
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.00	3.00
Goals per match	2.50	3.25
Goals conceded per match	2.00	1.75
Home / away goals scored	7	7
Home / away goals conceded	4	5
Last 5 points	4	12
Last 5 goals scored	10	13
Last 5 goals conceded	8	7
Win percentage	25%	100%

AS Roma recent form

DLWL

Real Madrid recent form

WWWW

Recent form

AS Roma

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

Dat Como 19070–0
Dvs Inter Milan2–2
Wat Torino FC2–0
Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
Wvs Atalanta BC2–1

Real Madrid

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
Wat Elche CF3–2
Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Wvs Inter Milan2–1

Team news

AS Roma

All AS Roma news →

Real Madrid

All Real Madrid news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.