UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 2

AS Roma vs Real Madrid Prediction

Wed 14 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: UEFA Champions League
Round: Matchweek 2
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win51%

Draw21%

Real Madrid win28%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 72%
Under 2.5 goals: 28%
BTTS yes: 70%

Over 1.5 goals: 89%
Over 3.5 goals: 51%
BTTS no: 30%
Expected goals: 2.16 – 1.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Real Madrid arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.8%
1–18.1%
2–26.9%
1–26.4%
3–16.3%
2–05.6%
1–05.1%
3–25.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	AS Roma	Real Madrid
Matches played	1	1
Points per match	1.00	3.00
Goals per match	1.00	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.00	1.00
Home / away goals scored	0	0
Home / away goals conceded	0	0
Last 5 points	1	3
Last 5 goals scored	1	2
Last 5 goals conceded	1	1
Win percentage	0%	100%

AS Roma recent form

Real Madrid recent form

Recent form

AS Roma

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded

Dvs Inter Milan2–2
Wat Torino FC2–0
Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
Wat US Lecce4–0

Real Madrid

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
Wat Elche CF3–2
Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
Wvs Inter Milan2–1
Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1

Team news

AS Roma

No tracked team news threads open.

All AS Roma news →

Real Madrid

All Real Madrid news →

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.