UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 4

Manchester United FC vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
Old Trafford, Manchester, England

United Matchday prediction

Manchester United FC win70%
Draw16%
AS Roma win13%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
60%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
40%
Expected goals
2.58 – 1.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Manchester United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 3–18.0%
  • 3–07.6%
  • 1–17.2%
  • 1–06.9%
  • 4–15.1%
  • 4–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticManchester United FCAS Roma
Matches played21
Points per match1.501.00
Goals per match2.001.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
Home / away goals scored41
Home / away goals conceded01
Last 5 points31
Last 5 goals scored41
Last 5 goals conceded21
Win percentage50%0%

Manchester United FC recent form

WL

AS Roma recent form

D

Recent form

Manchester United FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat Atlético Madrid0–2
  • Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
  • Dat Fulham FC1–1
  • Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
  • Wvs Sabah FK4–0

AS Roma

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dat Como 19070–0
  • Dvs Inter Milan2–2
  • Wat Torino FC2–0
  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
626
1X2 accuracy
46.8%
BTTS accuracy
56.7%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.5%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.