Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
RB Leipzig win79%
Draw13%
Hamburger SV win8%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 2.83 – 0.80
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
RB Leipzig's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.7%
- 3–010.1%
- 2–18.5%
- 3–18.0%
- 1–07.5%
- 4–07.1%
- 1–16.0%
- 4–15.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals per match | 2.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 3.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 25% |
RB Leipzig recent form
WLWL
Hamburger SV recent form
LLLW
Recent form
RB Leipzig
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat Como 19071–4
- Lat SV Werder Bremen1–3
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0
- Lat SC Freiburg1–4
- Wvs FC St. Pauli 19102–1
Hamburger SV
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
- Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
- Wvs SC Freiburg3–2
- Wat Eintracht Frankfurt2–1
Team news
RB Leipzig
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.