Bundesliga · Matchweek 5

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

RB Leipzig win72%
Draw15%
Eintracht Frankfurt win14%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Under 2.5 goals
19%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
3.05 – 1.35

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates RB Leipzig's home scoring output above the Bundesliga average. Eintracht Frankfurt's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 4–16.0%
  • 3–05.9%
  • 2–05.8%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 2–25.2%
  • 1–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticRB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
Matches played99
Points per match2.001.33
Goals per match3.001.67
Goals conceded per match1.442.22
Home / away goals scored238
Home / away goals conceded213
Last 5 points127
Last 5 goals scored186
Last 5 goals conceded810
Win percentage67%33%

RB Leipzig recent form

WLWWW

Eintracht Frankfurt recent form

LWLWD

Recent form

RB Leipzig

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–2
  • Wvs Hamburger SV5–0
  • Lat Como 19071–4
  • Lat SV Werder Bremen1–3
  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–0

Eintracht Frankfurt

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Dvs SC Freiburg2–2
  • Wat 1. FSV Mainz 053–1
  • Lvs FC Augsburg1–4
  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin3–3
  • Dvs VfB Stuttgart2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.