Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Racing Club de Lens vs Le Havre AC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Racing Club de Lens win72%
Draw16%
Le Havre AC win13%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 73%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.72 – 1.09
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Le Havre AC, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Racing Club de Lens, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.5%
- 1–16.6%
- 1–06.1%
- 4–15.5%
- 4–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Racing Club de Lens | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 0.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 15 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 0% |
Racing Club de Lens recent form
WWWLL
Le Havre AC recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Racing Club de Lens
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 16 conceded
- Lvs Olympique de Marseille1–2
- Lvs Como 19071–9
- Lat Lille OSC0–1
- Wvs Paris FC2–1
- Lat Club Brugge KV0–3
Le Havre AC
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 15 conceded
- Lvs FC Lorient0–2
- Lvs Paris Saint-Germain1–5
- Lat Olympique de Marseille3–4
- Lvs AJ Auxerre1–3
- Lat Lille OSC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Draw
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Away
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.