Championship
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Derby County FC
Home
42%
Draw
30%
Away
28%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 33%BTTS: 40%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 14
Queens Park Rangers FC vs Burnley FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 3 Nov, 19:45 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 14
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Queens Park Rangers FC win41%
Draw26%
Burnley FC win33%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.44 – 1.27
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Queens Park Rangers FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Burnley FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Burnley FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.7%
- 2–06.9%
- 0–06.6%
- 2–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Queens Park Rangers FC | Burnley FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.38 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.88 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 10% |
Queens Park Rangers FC recent form
LDDDD
Burnley FC recent form
DLDWD
Recent form
Queens Park Rangers FC
0W 4D 1L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat West Ham United FC1–1
- Dvs Preston North End FC2–2
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Lvs Middlesbrough FC0–1
Burnley FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs Charlton Athletic FC2–2
- Wat Watford FC4–0
- Dvs Derby County FC1–1
- Lat Swansea City AFC1–3
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 626
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.8%
- BTTS accuracy
- 56.7%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.5%
- Exact score
- 11.0%
Related predictions
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Millwall FC vs Lincoln City FC
Home
52%
Draw
25%
Away
24%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Watford FC vs Charlton Athletic FC
Home
42%
Draw
27%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 51%
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West Bromwich Albion FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC
Home
43%
Draw
28%
Away
29%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.